moving on
This “health resilience” issue is proving hard-ish to nail. I’ll have a go at writing the 3-page report, which would basically be an expansion of what we wrote, but with more details for those who don’t know about the subject.
Given that the devil is in the details, I expect it to be hard-ish to write.
I hope the issue has been in other people’s back-burner. It certainly has been in mine, and I have some minor facts to report on:
I started drafting what would be a specific proposal about medication. The general idea is clear: after the medication is produced at the “factory” (F), it goes through a series of stocks (S) and transports (T) until it reaches the user (U) at home or hospital. So it’s F-T-S-T-S-T-S-T-U. If there’s reason to believe production or transport (or maybe one of the stocks, if a freezer breaks somewhere) might be compromised, then you want larger stocks closer to home, period. (We’re asuming there are no alternative suppliers.)
I don’t have the data to actually sort the medications acording to impact (deadlyness of the medication’s abscense, multiplied by number of people affected). That stuff requires a small network of people in the know, I guess.
So, I decided to do “insulin” first. If it’s 7000 insulin-dependent people in my (“my”) territory, so many “units” (that’s dose) per day per person, and you want say one month, then … you need a freezer and so many euros. Quite a quantity if you ask an individual, but not that much for a whole health system. And that insulin is going to be used anyway, so we’re talking about keeping a stock. The real price is the freezer (for visualisation purposes, my numbers gave me a freezer about 2m³ in size) and it’s electricity.
If we add 20 medications, not all taken as frequently, we might end up with, vague estimate here, “a room per million”. Not all freezer (injection stuff, some medications).
I went with those numbers and asked a pharmacist friend. “Yes, but the prices are slowly falling, so the incentive is against building a stock right now.”
Ah, incentives. In general, they are upside down before a crisis, or there wouldn’t be a crisis. It looks like resilience needs minor crises to earn its place at the table. :-/ Anyone here knows a way out?